Comments on: Probability Over Certainty, Or: Everything I Ever Needed To Know About Immersion, I Learned from the Miller-Rabin Primality Test /probability-over-certainty/ You don't know a language, you live it. You don't learn a language, you get used to it. Sat, 04 Jul 2020 16:09:19 +0900 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.1.13 By: Jam /probability-over-certainty/#comment-1000521189 Sun, 05 Apr 2015 05:39:20 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-1000521189 half way through this i thought to myself “wtf am i doing?” and started streaming 日本テレビ on Niji haha
最近習っている気がするよ (i don’t care how gaijin that sounds because i sounded more gaijin last week)

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By: “Nothing” is the only too little; “Not Now” is the only too late. » Dogberry Patch /probability-over-certainty/#comment-1000065252 Tue, 04 Feb 2014 21:34:28 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-1000065252 […] article at the slightly irreverent “All Japanese All The Time” blog. The post, “Probability Over Certainty, Or: Everything I Ever Needed To Know About Immersion, I Learned from the…“, rambles a bit till he gets to his point that much of our procrastination is due to focusing […]

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By: Aspiring /probability-over-certainty/#comment-1000027970 Wed, 22 May 2013 06:14:21 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-1000027970 “As time has gone on, I’ve come to love Japanese impartiality (plus, I mean, it’s not like people are impartial on everything — I am being a bit simplistic here). And I’ve come to dislike opinionated people who think they know everything.”

+1

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By: Oosaka Ayumu /probability-over-certainty/#comment-322584 Fri, 01 Mar 2013 23:59:31 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-322584 100% * 0 action is still 0%.
Thank you! ^_^

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By: Zero-Certainty | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-273532 Thu, 29 Nov 2012 02:10:42 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-273532 […] ■Probability Not Certainty […]

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By: Do “Wide Standards” Apply To Immersion?: High Achievement Despite Low=Wide Standards | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-181923 Mon, 09 Jan 2012 00:10:45 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-181923 […] ■Probability Not Certainty […]

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By: Es2Kay /probability-over-certainty/#comment-171357 Sun, 04 Dec 2011 00:34:26 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-171357 “There’s no certainty – only opportunity.”

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By: Maomi /probability-over-certainty/#comment-100540 Mon, 30 May 2011 10:30:06 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-100540 *for making me realize this.
:>

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By: Maomi /probability-over-certainty/#comment-100539 Mon, 30 May 2011 10:27:54 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-100539 Thank you for this article…I have to say I especially love the simple, down-to-earth – you know, colloquial – way you put things. It’s like… listening to a friend sitting beside me on the couch. 😉 Somehow this makes the message go in all the easier.
Analysis Paralysis… f***. This is exactly the reason why I’m constantly stuck with my thesis. Thank you for realizing this. Now I have to overcome my drive to think on this instead of doing a little something that will acutally propell me forward…

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By: You’re Not A “Learner”, You’re A Logistics Officer | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-75573 Thu, 03 Feb 2011 13:19:59 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-75573 […] ■Probability Not Certainty […]

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By: Stop Trying Hard | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-69968 Sun, 09 Jan 2011 06:38:37 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-69968 […] ■Probability Not Certainty […]

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By: That’s Not Your Job | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-63945 Thu, 09 Dec 2010 15:00:47 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-63945 […] ■Probability Not Certainty […]

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By: Seguridad y probabilidad | El Blog de Pancen /probability-over-certainty/#comment-63183 Sun, 05 Dec 2010 00:57:22 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-63183 […] y probabilidad Publicado el Sábado, Diciembre 4, 2010 por pancen La entrada de Khatzumoto es muy […]

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By: 我我我普通 /probability-over-certainty/#comment-60983 Sat, 20 Nov 2010 14:59:06 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-60983 you could try to make an srs deck with stressfull/depressing situations on the front of the card and advice on the back. So, this way you can practice recalling the kind of advice Khatsumoto gives when you find yourself in a stressfull situation.

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By: khatzumoto /probability-over-certainty/#comment-53109 Thu, 19 Aug 2010 07:33:11 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-53109 @KENTOSI

>If only there was a way of … I dunno … automatically recalling these lessons whenever I find myself stressed/depressed with a million self-imposed things to do and not doing a single thing.

Check this out: Why The Way We Read Sucks and How to Fix It: Part 4 — Why SRS Personal Development Books? | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time bit.ly/7OGxvO

It’s not perfect, but…it’s a step in that direction.

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By: KENTOSI /probability-over-certainty/#comment-53106 Thu, 19 Aug 2010 07:21:05 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-53106 Greetings from Australia.

I loved this post. You wouldn’t believe how timely this is.

I just spent the last 4 hours fighting procrastination and analysis-paralysis over a holiday trip i’m planning. Oh, and I’m at work, so I’m meant to be working too !

This post was exactly what I needed.

My only problem – and I’m sure you face this too – is that even through I learn this lesson over and over again, I keep making this same mistake of seeking the perfect to-do list for things. If only there was a way of … I dunno … automatically recalling these lessons whenever I find myself stressed/depressed with a million self-imposed things to do and not doing a single thing. Life would be so sweeeet if that was the case.

Gav

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By: Timeboxing Trilogy, Part 8: Don’t Those Super-Short Timeboxes Make Timeboxing Meaningless? | AJATT | All Japanese All The Time /probability-over-certainty/#comment-53044 Wed, 18 Aug 2010 15:03:18 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-53044 […] mindset where you can see the intrinsic value of 60 seconds. And what mindset is that? It’s this one. It’s the probabilistic algorithm mindset: it’s the mindset that says: […]

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By: Ken /probability-over-certainty/#comment-52889 Tue, 17 Aug 2010 03:32:05 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-52889 Sadly, I have the opposite ‘problem’, if it can be called that. I’d do Japanese all day, if I didn’t have to work. I am fantastic at slacking, in any language! ja.wikipedia.org + Japanese(-dubbed) TV shows will be my downfall. At least, until I land a job that consists of reading ja.wikipedia.org all day.

This weekend I went to a talk in Japanese and I understood about *half* of it, which is kind of amazing considering I haven’t even touched my SRS in a month or two (and I’m only through about 1000 kanji, and about 0 sentences). I’m really only reliable at watching TV.

I think listening works so well because once you get used to the ‘flow’ of how Japanese sounds, you can split up the continuous stream of sound into words, and that plus a *very* little vocabulary is like 80% of the way to comprehension. If you can pick out 3 words in a sentence, you pretty much know what they’re saying.

I used to be suspicious that someone could pick up any amount of a language in 18 months, but now I wholly believe it: in college I studied another language but only maybe an hour a day — it’s easy to put in far more than that, if you’re having fun.

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By: アンソニー /probability-over-certainty/#comment-52865 Mon, 16 Aug 2010 23:03:23 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-52865 “100% * 0 action is still 0%. 0.485% * 200 tiny actions is 97%. ”

I’ve heard you say this in a gajillion different posts, a gajillion different tweets, in a gajillion different ways. But this time, this little mathematical analogy it really struck a chord.
Thank you ^-^

OL2L: A Japanese website on “tricking”

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By: Thomas /probability-over-certainty/#comment-52861 Mon, 16 Aug 2010 22:16:58 +0000 /?p=2357#comment-52861 I wish I could remember the post you wrote in this massive blook of a website about expecting yourself to be perfect and treating yourself like this automaton but this post seems to be very much the same type of thing.

Knowing that your plans, no matter how perfect are going to go wrong at some point is a huge step towards actually achieving your goals. It’s the reason why we timebox and it’s the reason why Kaizen works. When you break the tasks up into seemingly meaninglessly small tasks you actually end up achieving your goal much faster than you thought you would.

Really learning Japanese is more about getting into the habit of doing something in Japanese every day and doing at least one rep every day than it is about the perfect plan, or the perfect methedology or even the perfect immersion environment. Like you’re always saying: As long as you’re progressing, *you’re progressing.* You are constantly moving more and more towards fluency.

Persistence is king.

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